Howard E. Morseburg
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CUBA; WHAT WILL HAPPEN? Howard E. Morseburg
Unless plans are in place well in advance of the day fidelito, the Great Cockroach, dies, the chance to change the current oppressive form of government in Cuba will be lost. His death, in my opinion, will not create a vacuum. The press in the U.S. and Europe will have page after page reciting his imaginary accomplishments, and little of it will be negative, so he'll die a world renowned and respected hero; the government in charge in Havana will be prepared to take full advantage of it. There will be a funeral parade with dignitaries from all over the world in attendance. It will give some semblance of legitimacy to his illegal and illegitimate successor. The media can do that, you know. Fidelito, for 46 years a feared authoritarian figure had no mandate, morally or legally, and neither will Raul, his expected successor. That's the way communists always operate, followed by a string of executions of those who oppose them. It will take more than words to bring back a democratic form of Government to Cuba, more than wishful thinking, more than Blogs and letters. It will take some type of immediate, direct and forceful action. If there is there a ranking officer with a loyal following who will asassinate or execute Raul and declare Cuba free of Socialism, that is one possible way, but if so, at this point in time he is unknown outside of Havana. If there is one, he would face a firing squad tomorrow if anyone in Havana had the slightest suspicion. Dictatorships do not give up nor do they fall easily. It is certain that some people close to fidelito will be marked for a quick demise if Raul succeeds his brother, unless they manage to hit the airport on the run and a plane is ready to take off. Most likely there will be just a brief opportunity to make a change, and if it is missed it will take a substantive effort at any other point in time. The uprising has to be so quick and spontaneous that Havana cannot react fast enough and they are most likely ready and well prepared for such an eventuality. The main question is: Will the regime order the Army shoot at the people and bring on a bloodbath? If so, hundreds, if not thousands, will die. If, on the other hand, the Army joins the people, the world's most complete socialist failure will finally fall and something else will replace it, but what? The internal uprising, were it to happen, would have the best chance of success if it took place and concentrated its' efforts in the Tourist Zone, because there it would be more difficult for the Cuban Armed Forces to use bullets and brutality in front of witnesses, armed with scores of cameras, from the international community. A darling of the media, kept alive by the media Castro's name was constantly in the world's press long before he took the reins of power, and the world accepted him because he was always pictured as the hero, supposedly there to rescue his people from the evil rule of the dictator, Batista. Little did they realize then, nor will they admit now, that what came after was more evil and tyrannical than Batista had ever been. Now there is not a single name that stands out in Cuba, because the Castro has seen to that. There is no leader in the wings to oppose the government in Havana once he is gone. Can a Joan of Arc suddenly appear and mobilize the masses? It would not surprise me if, upon the death of fidelito, summary executions of prisoners who might be considered threats to Raul and his cohorts were carried out in the prisons. There is no Cuban Government in Exile either to which Cubans can look for headership and help, or to seek an international outcry. (They certainly cannot turn to the United Nations for succor, in any case). That presents a major problem for an uprising, because any group that makes such attempt while based in Cuba might be captured and quickly executed. At that point the uprising would be over. The fact that Raul controls the armed forces and weaponry presents a rebelling citizenry with another conundrum: Without weapons...what can they expect to accomplish? What if they gave a peace parade and everyone came?
12) Mechanized farming
is at an all time low, probably than at any point over
the past 75 to 100 years. Tractors sit idle, equipment
is ruined from lack of repair.Using animals for plowing
is not uncommon. Aging equipment has not been replaced
again due to mismanagement, similar to the extreme waste
in the USSR under socialized farming systems. 14) Even imprisonments of dissenters cannot keep them
quiet, and discontent is nation-wide in Cuba. (Freedom
of the Press? American's newspapers to raise such an
issue? Heavens, they love fidelito castro, La Cucaracha
Grande too much, I guess.) U.S. librarians, supposed
champions of freedom of speech and the press are so
dominated by socialist thugs that they don't speak out
against the worst such abuses in this hemisphere and
it's just 90 miles off-shore. 16) Nothing works from the top on down except the
motor-mouth of La Cucaracha Grande, and it has been
moving at top speed since 1959. 18) Education: how can he call it free when students
work for their education witout pay? When fornication in
the cane fields is the only compensation that they
receive for what is termed hard labor by any world
standard in civilized nations? 20) The U.S. Coast Guard is rescuing hundreds of
Balseros each months, a wave of humanity that risk their
lives to flee horrendous conditions at home, and the
media ignores it. It is news and it is important;
they'll write about the plight of people in the Sudan,
but not those closest to home...simply because the
country professes to be socialist. Always, socialism is
the keyword that earns them a free pass by the press. 22) Many Cubans have lived above the norm because of
the generosity of relatives who live and work abroad.
Without that help, a greater percentage of Cubans would
live below the poverty level, often in squalor. Equality
in socialist societies usually means equally poor, but
that's for the common people, not for the socialist
elite. Alway, always in all societies there is that
Ruling Class and they take on the mantle of royalty,
such as fidelito's fleet of powerful Mercedes' sedans. 24) Think of this: most Cuban children have never
tasted candy, never had a decent toy, never had a
computer, never surfed, never had a skateboard, a decent
Sony walkman, a nice TV, good playground equipment. A
skateboard, for example, would cost the equivalent of a
year's salary. Yet, fidelito is worth more than $550
million dollars personally. All these failures can be blamed on George W. Bush,
who was hardly a child when fidelito came to power.
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